Parliamentary Elections in Ukraine: Four Political Parties to Enter the New Parliament

Presidential Elections Ukraine 2019

The survey conducted on July 8-10, 2019 showed that the new Ukrainian parliament would consist of the following political parties: “Sluga Narodu” Party led by Dmytro Razumkov and backed by the newly elected President of Ukraine Volodymyr Zelenskiy (40.3%), “Opposition Platform – Za Zhittya” led by Yuriy Boyko, Vadim Rabinovich, and Viktor Medvedchuk (15.0%), the “European Solidarnist” Party of the former President of Ukraine Petro Poroshenko (7.9%), and the “Batkivschyna” Party of Yulia Tymoshenko (5.8%).

The other parties so far do not have enough public support to enter the next parliament: “Golos” Party led by the singer Svyatoslav Vakarchuk – 4.7%, “Gromadyanska Pozitsiya” of Anatoliy Grytsenko and Dmytro Dobrodomov – 4.2%, “Syla I Chest” of Ihor Smeshko – 3.9%, the Radical Party of Oleg Lyashko – 3.2%, the Agrarian Party of Mykhaylo Poplavskiy – 2.9%, The Shariy Party – 2.4%, the “Svoboda” Party of Oleg Tyagnybok, Andriy Biletskiy and Dmytro Yarosh – 2.0%, “Opposition Bloc” of Eugeniy Muraev, Oleksandr Vilkul and Gennadiy Kernes – 1.8%, the “Ukrainian Strategy” of Volodymyr Groisman – 1.7%, etc.

The results of the survey are shown in the tables below.

Major trends revealed by the survey are as follows:

  • The “Sluga Narodu” Party led by Dmytro Razumkov: the highest level of support is accompanied with slight curtailment of its popularity. Experts claim that this downfall may stem from the latest appointments and public statements of Volodymyr Zelenskiy that partially disappoint his electorate.
  • «Opposition Platform – Za Zhittya»: stable positive dynamics due to high public activity of its leaders (the peace talks and the release of Ukrainian prisoners).
  • The “European Solidarity” Party led by the fifth President of Ukraine Petro Poroshenko and “Batkivschyna” Party of Yulia Tymoshenko: general leveling of public support and neck-and-neck struggle for the overall third position after the voting.
  • “Golos” Party led by Ukrainian singer Svyatoslav Vakarchuk: actual suspension of growth at the expense of the “European Solidarity” and “Batkivschyna” voters, which led to immediate cut-back.

Other parties (“Gromadyanska Pozitsiya”, “Syla I Chest”, “Opposition Bloc”, and others) – almost no chances to enter the next parliament.

The international research center BURI (The Belgium-Ukraine Research Institute) conducted the survey in Ukraine on July 8-10, 2019. Total quantity of respondents equaled 2010 individuals (representative sample). The survey method – combined interviews. Error margin is 2.2%.

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